"eco-budgeting"



< PRE-DRAFT++ >

Supporing simple evaluation of ecological direct and indirect outcomes.
### (was) Moral evaluation proceses: how to assess & overcome fear/paralysis of an action's consumables (with regards to eco-related limitations), when the action also has a positive outcome potential?

Revisions:
    20200103 stub
    20210718 push →PD
    20210824 D+L ping →D?

Ties to:
    _____________ topical
    * 🔗ecology
    * 🔗doomsday (sentiments)
    * 🔗metrics & 🔗representation.systems
    * 🔗civ-index
    _____________ ethical
    * 🔗prescriptions
    * 🔗struggling and 🔗prescriptions
    * ###


Table of Contents
1 *** 1 KG CO2 = 1 "X"
1.1 Definition
1.2 Base units
1.3 Applied (yearly)
2 *** CASES
2.1 (TOTAL PLANETARY / YEAR)
2.2 (TOTAL PERSONAL / YEAR)
2.3 (POWER) Cooking gas
2.4 (LIFE) Living & breathing
2.5 (CAR) Driving a car
2.6 (CAR) LPG cars
2.7 (CAR) Buying a new car
2.8 (ENERGY) Average kWh, delivered and consumed
2.9 (TRAVEL) Getting to Lanzarote to do CHT work
2.10 (COMPUTING/DATA) Phone
2.11 (COMPUTING/DATA) Internet use
2.12 (COMPUTING/DATA) Long-term storage of 1GB
2.13 (POWER) Off-grid DIY system
2.14 (COMPUTING) Using a computer
2.15 (COMPUTING/DATA) Being subscribed to spam
2.16 (COMPUTING/DATA) Burning a CD
2.17 (LIFE) Subsistence
2.18 (FUN) Making a fire
2.19 (CRISIS) Big forest fire
2.20 (CRISIS) Volcano eruption
2.21 (TOXIC) Burning plastic
2.22 (COMPUTING/CRYPTO) Making a Bitcoin transaction
2.23 (COMPUTING/CRYPTO) Buying an NFT
2.24 (BASICS) Fashion: Shirt
2.25 (BASICS) Fashion: Jeans
2.26 ———GRIDS———
2.27 * Gas
2.28 * Electric
2.29 * Water
2.30 ———COMPLEX———
2.31 * Facebook mini flame war
2.32 * Running a gallery
3 *** ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK
3.1 * Direct resource consumables (DIRECT INPUT):
3.2 * Impact (DIRECT OUTPUT):
3.3 * ###
4 *** SEQUESTRATION
4.1 Buying "carbon offsets"
4.2 A single tree
4.3 A forest
4.4 "Carbon credits"
5 *** REAL EMISSIONS
5.1 Try 1: finding data
5.2 Try 2: sanity check (China exports)
5.3 (etc)
6 *** TOPICS
6.1 * Other emissions/pollutants: GWP (Global Warming Potential)
6.1.1     * Methane
6.1.2     * CFC!
6.1.3     (etc)
6.2 * "Sustainable" emissions PPPY ?
7 *** RESOURCES
8 *** PAD
8.1 [!] *LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS*
8.2 [!!] Mark: "more than expected" / "less"
8.3 [!!] vgupta: carbon intensity per unit of GDP
8.4 GEOENGINEERING— ... project ~vesta (olivin grinding)
8.5 Tim Garrett on Jevon's paradox & "energy efficiency"
8.6 [!!**] Eating for one day
8.7 Kangaroo farts
8.8 [!] Joana Moll
8.9 COMULATIVE EMISSIONS please
8.10 [!!] CONCRETE
8.11 [!!] paper + print on paper
8.12 Flying
8.13 —————
8.14 [!!] (Contra) The neoliberal idea of individual responsiblity
8.15 [!!*] Purpose of the pad == sanity check for proper "workbench" tool


*** 1 KG CO2 = 1 "X"


Because measuring CO2 with "kilograms" is too problematic at scale.


Definition

Proposition:
    1 kg CO2 = 1 X

Name / pronounciation:
    "1 axe"
    "1 emecs" ("EMissions unit")
    "1 smack"
    ### [!*]

Base units

m(ili) = 1/1000
K(ilo) = 10^3
M(ega) = 10^6
G(iga) = 10^9
T(era) = 10^12



Applied (yearly)
(roughly, sources below)

World = 36TX
    from "36 billion metric tons"
    (10^9 * 10^3 kg = 10^12 kg)
Person = 5KX (~10-15X PPPD)
Small town (1K) = 5MX
City/Small country (1MIL) = 5GX
~10% of global (1BIL) = 5TX





*** CASES


(TOTAL PLANETARY / YEAR)

"""
The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that in 2019, the United States emitted 5.1 billion metric tons of energy-related carbon dioxide, while the global emissions of energy-related carbon dioxide totaled 33.1 billion metric tons.
"""
== 33TX

https://ourworldindata.org/co2-emissions
"""
We see that prior to the Industrial Revolution, emissions were very low. Growth in emissions was still relatively slow until the mid-20th century. In 1950 the world emitted 6 billion tonnes of CO2
By 1990 this had almost quadrupled to 22 billion tonnes
Emissions have continued to grow rapidly; we now emit over 36 billion tonnes each year.
"""
== 36TX


(TOTAL PERSONAL / YEAR)

(tons):
    United States 15.523
    China 7.382
    EU ~6.6
    Global average ~4
    India 1.91

USA:
    == 15000X / year
    == 40X / day
EU/CHINA:
    == 7300X / year
    == 15X / day
AVERAGE:
    == 4000X / year
    == 10X / day
MEDIAN = ### [!]
INDIA:
    == 2000X / year
    == 5X / day


(POWER) Cooking gas

Is primarily methane.

A canister:
https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-amount-of-CO2-produced-by-the-combustion-of-15-kg-butane
== 45X / 15kg (large cannister)
== 3X / kg

CHT uses a cannister in 4-5 months, for 2 people:
= 2.5*12kg/2=15kg/year PP
== 50X PPPY
== 150mX PPPD

______________
[!!] Also produces CO (Carbon Monoxide)



(LIFE) Living & breathing

"""
"average” person produces approximately two pounds of carbon dioxide each day.
"""
== 1X PPPD
== 350X PPPY


______________________
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10352577/
"""
The medical community has long recognized that humans exhale volatile organic compounds (VOCs). Several studies have quantified emissions of VOCs from human breath, with values ranging widely due to variation between and within individuals. The authors have measured human breath concentrations of isoprene and pentane. The major VOCs in the breath of healthy individuals are isoprene (12-580 ppb), acetone (1.2-1,880 ppb), ethanol (13-1,000 ppb), methanol (160-2,000 ppb) and other alcohols. In this study, we give a brief summary of VOC measurements in human breath and discuss their implications for indoor concentrations of these compounds, their contributions to regional and global emissions budgets, and potential ambient air sampling artifacts. Though human breath emissions are a negligible source of VOCs on regional and global scales (less than 4% and 0.3%, respectively), simple box model calculations indicate that they may become an important (and sometimes major) indoor source of VOCs under crowded conditions. Human breath emissions are generally not taken into account in indoor air studies, and results from this study suggest that they should be.    
"""



(CAR) Driving a car

https://www.epa.gov/energy/greenhouse-gas-equivalencies-calculator
45 tons / year (15.000km)
= 3X / km
(I suppose this includes production, etc)


https://www.epa.gov/greenvehicles/greenhouse-gas-emissions-typical-passenger-vehicle
"""
  • How much tailpipe carbon dioxide (CO2) is emitted from driving one mile?          
    • The average passenger vehicle emits about 404 grams of CO2 per mile         
  • Are there other sources of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a vehicle?          
    • In addition to carbon dioxide (CO2), automobiles produce methane (CH4)and nitrous oxide (N2O) from the tailpipe and hydrofluorocarbon emissions from leaking air conditioners. The emissions of these gases are small in comparison to CO2; however, the impact of these emissions can be important because they have a higher global warming potential (GWP) than CO2.  
"""
== 400g/1.61km/mile
== 0.3X / km
(I suppose this refers only to direct emissions)


https://www.counterpunch.org/2019/06/14/how-much-do-humans-pollute-a-breakdown-of-industrial-vehicular-and-household-c02-emissions/
###



(CAR) LPG cars

https://ecoscore.be/en/info/ecoscore/co2
(for LPG fuel)
"An average consumption of 5 liters / 100 km then corresponds to 5 l x 1665 g/l / 100 (per km) = 83 g of CO2/km."

== 0.1X / km

_________________
[!] OK, but:
    * extraction
    * transoprt (pipelines)
    * distribution (stations construction + operation incl labour)



(CAR) Buying a new car

"For a standard mid-sized gasoline ICE (internal combustion engine) vehicle the embedded carbon in production will be around 5.6tCO2e, around three quarters of which is the steel in the vehicle glider."
https://www.zemo.org.uk/news-events/news,lowcvp-study-highlights-importance-of-measuring-whole-life-carbon-emissions_1644.htm

"A similar electric vehicle will have embedded production emissions of 8.8t CO2e, 43% of which arise from the battery. Decarbonising both electricity supply, through renewables; and the production of batteries will therefore be essential for electric vehicles to deliver ultra-low carbon lifetime emissions."

Wow!

== 6000X
+ repairs(1500X) / 15 years = 7500X
== 500X / year
(for one person & without fuel!)



(ENERGY) Average kWh, delivered and consumed

https://www.epa.gov/energy/greenhouse-gas-equivalencies-calculator
says ~0.7kg ... so basically
== 1X / 1kWh


https://www.rte-france.com/en/eco2mix/co2-emissions
"""
The contribution of each energy source to C02 emissions is as follows:
    0.986 t CO2 eq /MWh for coal-fired plants
    0.777 t CO2 eq /MWh for oil-fired plants
    0.429 t CO2 eq /MWh for gas-fired plants
    0.494 t CO2 eq /MWh for biofuel plants (waste)
"""

_______________

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life-cycle_greenhouse_gas_emissions_of_energy_sources




(TRAVEL) Getting to Lanzarote to do CHT work

###

"""
So, you can ...:
    1) hitch a sailboat from Barcelona / Cadiz(?) / ... (Around 2-3 days)
    2) Decide last minute & factor in that flights are already set
    3) Fly, but make sure that you prepare well, do real work, and offset it!:
### offset: ........... A) with your work .......... B) with "buying credits" .......... [!]
        (After all, otherwise it would be "most eco" to not do anything).
    4) ??? <--------------- !!!!!!
How to take into account:
    CHT work is a bet on having a positive transformational effect.
"""



(COMPUTING/DATA) Phone

https://honestmobile.co.uk/2020/08/25/whats-the-carbon-footprint-of-my-smartphone/
"""
According to researchers from McMaster University in Canada, the carbon emissions linked to smartphone use have grown so much that they now dwarf the emissions contributed by PCs or laptops. The actual figures? They’ve gone from 17 megatons of CO2e per year to 125 megatons of CO2e per year. That’s an increase of 730%. 
"""
= 17 GX
== 80X PPPY
$$$$ (twice???)


https://reboxed.co/blogs/outsidethebox/the-carbon-footprint-of-your-phone-and-how-you-can-reduce-it
"""
Handily, Berners-Lee has done the calculations for us, taking into account:
    * the manufacturing process,
    * the networks and data centres that smartphones connect to and
    * the electricity they use
    ____
    Use your mobile phone for an hour a day? 63kg CO2e a year
    Use your mobile phone for 195 minutes a day (about average)? 69kg CO2e a year
    Use your mobile phone 10 hours a day? 86kg CO2e a year
"""
== 80X PPPY
### problem: unclear what TIME OF USE they assumed in calculation



"""
Carbon footprint linked to your phone
40 to 80 kg CO₂
This estimate includes the manufacture and end of life of your mobile phone. 
"""
OK but:
    * how long is "my phone" supposed to be used
    * what's the consumption
== 100X PPPM





(COMPUTING/DATA) Internet use

"Using your phone each day has a bigger impact on the environment than just manufacturing it. There’s a lot of energy needed to run the data centres and infrastructure that let you make video calls, post selfies, and stream TV. "

Ratio will depend mostly on:
    * how long you keep the phone (repairs!)
    * how & if it is recycled
    * use patterns
    * ###


https://espace-client.orange.fr/conso/9063594991/empreinte-carbone/equipement-principal
"""
Internet mobile
Débit réduit
Consommé : 70,00 Go
Seuil de 70,00 Go atteint le 20/07/2021.
Débit réduit jusqu'au 31/07/2021 inclus
 Seuil de 70,00 Go atteint le 20/07/2021. 
L'empreinte carbone de vos usages internet mobile est estimée à 2,45 kg depuis le 1 juillet. 
Voir en détail  votre empreinte carbone
"""
1.5kg/month average
== 2X PPPM




____________________ WHAAT

"""
Limit the environmental impact of your internet use from your phone     If possible, use a wifi connection rather than a mobile network.     Using wifi consumes an average of 10 times less energy than the mobile network.    Download your content in advance when you are connected in wifi rather than watching them in streaming on the mobile network.     
Watching a video streaming at 1.6 Mb / s for 1 hour consumes around 420 Wh on the mobile network, but only 20 Wh on wifi with fiber.   
Activate in your phone settings the option "Data saver" (Android) or "Low data mode" (iOS).     This feature helps prevent applications from updating regularly with content.    Set a lower resolution by default when watching videos on your smartphone. High resolution for small screens does not always provide better viewing comfort.     Limiting the resolution quality can divide the data consumption by 2 times or more. 
"""



(COMPUTING/DATA) Long-term storage of 1GB

Especially important if data is relatively bullshit

I record 3gb of uncompressed videos about my tooth problem.
Was recording, dealing with it for 15 minutes.

Costs:
    * medium one-time costs
    * long-term maintenance labour (browsing, recategorizing, etc)
    * long-term processing (searching through, indexing, comparing, etc)
    * backups
    * ###

? Would it pay off to compress and rewrite it?
? At what point ought you just delete something?



(POWER) Off-grid DIY system

see → section in 🔗solar



(COMPUTING) Using a computer

https://www.energuide.be/en/questions-answers/how-much-power-does-a-computer-use-and-how-much-co2-does-that-represent/54/

Offline
* Laptop ~50Wh
* Standby devices ~?

Online
* Servers keeping your mail



(COMPUTING/DATA) Being subscribed to spam
### could be an interesting #antigoogle campaign

###



(COMPUTING/DATA) Burning a CD



(LIFE) Subsistence

Food, water.



(FUN) Making a fire

###



(CRISIS) Big forest fire

###



(CRISIS) Volcano eruption

###



(COMPUTING/CRYPTO) Making a Bitcoin transaction

https://www.coindesk.com/business/2021/08/18/how-much-energy-does-bitcoin-use/
* 2 MWh ?!?!?!?
* "half the current banking system" ... but at what scale?
* ... and, how would it scale?

How to deal with these toxic assets?
What's the recovery / decontamination plan?

XXX🔗anticrypto


(COMPUTING/CRYPTO) Buying an NFT

###



(BASICS) Fashion: Shirt

"""
The apparel industry is a huge contributor to global climate change. Manufacturing a single pair of denim jeans produces 44 pounds of CO2, roughly equal to the greenhouse gas emissions from driving a passenger car nearly 50 miles.
One study shows that clothes manufacturing alone generated about 3% of the global CO2 emissions in 2011 -- roughly equal to climate pollution created by putting 163 million new cars on the road.
"""
https://actions.sumofus.org/a/it-s-time-to-put-a-stop-the-the-denim-industry-s-dirty-secrets

____________

http://www.tshared.eu/blog-of-tsharedeu/carbon-footprint.html
(including 50% for use - washing/ironing/drying)
== 3X / shirt


———GRIDS———


* Gas


* Electric


* Water



———COMPLEX———


* Facebook mini flame war

* 5 people writing:
    incl researching
    → data
    → time
* 30 people reading:
    → data
    → time
* ###



* Running a gallery

labour=pay=subisst

* labour: core team (3)
* labour: renovations/maintenance
* externalised labour:
    ###:
        * people applying, or considering
        * people 
* heating
* PR






*** ANALYTIC FRAMEWORK

What would be a part of this?


* Direct resource consumables (DIRECT INPUT):

"flights make a lot of CO2 from burning oil"



* Impact (DIRECT OUTPUT):

:
    * "we might draft a manifesto that will convince 100 people to stop flying forever"
    * ... or do something of comparable direct / indirect effect


but also:
    * chances / indeterminance / ordinality of outcomes:
        #TOMERGE : (for the latter)



* ###

!!!!!!





*** SEQUESTRATION


Buying "carbon offsets"

"""
How much do carbon offsets cost? The price of carbon offsets varies widely from <$1 per ton to >$50 per ton. The price depends on the type of carbon offset project, the carbon standard under which it was developed, the location of the offset, the co-benefits associated with the project, and the vintage year.
"""
== 50 for 1000X
== ~1c / X
== ~50€ PPPY (EU)

_________________________________

1) This seems *way* too cheap.

2) [!] What is the most "left-wing", the most expensive one?:
    Can you "carbon offset" by supporting China?
    ... punching nazis?
    ... (etc)


A single tree



A forest



*** REAL EMISSIONS


aka "externalized production"
aka "consumed (not produced) emissions"

[!!**] (again) Account for CONSUMED, not PRODUCED emissions?



Try 1: finding data

Consumption-based resource consumption (LOL!)
https://ourworldindata.org/consumption-based-co2
via: "calculate real co2 emissions for usa accounting for consumption from china"
"""
CO2 emissions are typically measured on the basis of ‘production’. This accounting method – which is sometimes referred to as ‘territorial’ emissions – is used when countries report their emissions, and set targets domestically and internationally.1
"""


Try 2: sanity check (China exports)

China GDP ###
China import ###
China export ###
Cross-check export product segmentation ###



*** TOPICS


* Other emissions/pollutants: GWP (Global Warming Potential)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming_potential
* different gases have different lifetime, so you essentially need to sample
* ###


    * Methane

"At least 25% of today's warming is driven by methane from human actions."

https://www.edf.org/climate/methane-crucial-opportunity-climate-fight


    * CFC!

So:
    * "The IPCC lists many other substances not shown here.[5] Some have high GWP but only a low concentration in the atmosphere. The total impact of all fluorinated gases is estimated at 3% of all greenhouse gas emissions.[10]"
    * ###


    (etc)

    * N2O
    * ###



* "Sustainable" emissions PPPY ?

(and define a %X unit)







*** PAD


[!] *LIFECYCLE EMISSIONS*

Important keyword:
    not just PRODUCTION (one-time), LOGISTICS, etc
    but also USE and MAINTENANCE
    and DECOMISSION !



[!!] Mark: "more than expected" / "less"

↑ / ↑↑ / ↓ / ↓↓


[!!] vgupta: carbon intensity per unit of GDP
250 260g / dollar consumer spending PPP adjusted
2 tons per person C budget (india):
    you can spend 8000$ per year
    that's "hard camp" environmental sustainability
45:30 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ty27zTfcRU&t=34s
>vgupta SOURCE?
-------------------
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/EN.ATM.CO2E.PP.GD
-------------
how does CHT match up to this?
--------
(host mentions a +tim.garett)
-------------------
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emission_intensity



GEOENGINEERING— ... project ~vesta (olivin grinding)

47min→
"If only we had a governance that would allow us to do that"
"rather than taking our problems and dealing with them, we just pretend that nothing is happening" :
    @@psycho fucking true ... what is this syndrome?:
        strong @@antifamily vibes
-----------
vgupta
48min→ "you'll get put in jail if you want to live carbon zero":
    ... "for not obeying building codes"..
    >vgupta : if you buy a van...:
        ... well in principle:
            A) more might be produced
            B) or saved from being smashed? (like "dumpster diving cheese" example)
            but then there's:
                1) the influence on others who will want vans (prices up, etc)
                2) less raw materials to reprocess (?) → more mining
                3) ###
50:30→ "you have to start rewriting all building and vehicle codes":
    @@hacking-housing

52→ i don't care about white people talk racism if they don't have a plan for reparations:
    sure ... → 🔗reparations
    "they haven't understood the problem, i'm not interested in their chatter"

53→ UK solution: "force green values into labour party":
    ... "threaten mass defection to green party" ......... → nice #COORDINATION problem



Tim Garrett on Jevon's paradox & "energy efficiency"

nice
https://twitter.com/nephologue

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SM8pQmA7wos
4→ "climate interactive" simualator:
    https://www.climateinteractive.org/tools/en-roads/
    wow nice @@cybersyn [!→]

Counter:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exNrjLlhbD8
    Anti "rebound effects" (which are limited per different segments)


[!!**] Eating for one day

* CHT/general/USA style



Kangaroo farts
###


[!] Joana Moll

https://aksioma.org/reprogramming/sl/oblak/
"""
Slednji je algoritmično ustvarjen iz podobnih okusov, osovraženih stvari ter zamer in zasnovan kot stroj za ekstrakcijo podatkov in vsebnik za ciljano oglaševanje, prilagojeno za maksimiranje uporabniške kompulzivne potrebe in dobička podjetja. Njegov izjemen uspeh nas ni le ločil od naših naravnih habitatov, pač pa te tudi uničuje. Joana Moll preučuje dejanski okoljski in družbeni učinek Oblaka in industrije ekstrakcije podatkov, tako da računa, koliko CO2 Oblak rigne v atmosfero vsakič, ko leno poguglamo ime igralca, ali koliko svobode se odpovemo vsakič, ko podrsamo levo na Tinderju.
"""



[!!] CONCRETE

"""
Even greened concrete is still concrete. The concrete industry by itself is the second or third largest emitter of greenhouse gases.
"""



[!!] paper + print on paper

... and the price of boxes of undistributed paper



Flying

"""
BRU→LJU
Estimated reduction: 220.40 kg CO2e
Your price: EUR 2.17
Equivalent to 94 litres less petrol consumed.
"""


—————


[!!] (Contra) The neoliberal idea of individual responsiblity

"""
i don't know how they measure this but we won't stop climate change by making "less dirty" websites
<<<yes, this wont stop climate change, but ppl still usually dont get the idea that internet can leave a co2 footprint
sure, but should they, and to what extent? (that's a big part of Totalist epistemology)
just because something is true, doesn't mean you need to know it
"""

###
[!] some refs to how "individual responsibility" for climate change is a neoliberal conspiracy from the 80s
[!] some expose on necessity of top-down management, includeing PRC's success


[!!*] Purpose of the pad == sanity check for proper "workbench" tool

* consolidates & collates all DBs
* supports proper templates
* prioretizes ("principal contradiction")
* helps #coordination
* ###


<--------------------------------------- ((new))