< DRAFT+ >
[!!→] text type to indicate this:
    * "shouldn't be printed"
    * is not, will not be, does not purport to be a cleaned up reference
    * is a resource, but does not aspire towards a general resource
    * has a strong personal "logbook" or "notebook" or "sketchpad" character

    20200325 overview #1
    20200730 second wave seems incoming. back here.
    20210802 trying quick push
    20220105 quick sift towards Draft:
        0047 start
        0138 dones →D+
    20220217 worries as omicron is high & we are living BXL
    20220601 (mostly quiet for the last 3 months)

Ties to:
    * 🔗medical
    * 🔗doomsday
    * 🔗protocol-quarantine

Table of Contents
1 *** BASIC
1.1 Worldwide Status
1.2 Good basic reading
1.3 Status @ EU
1.4 Status @ Spain
1.5 Status @ Canarias
1.6 Simulations
1.7 Tools
2.1 Protection / prevention 101
2.2 [R!] Protocol: New Resident
2.3 Protocol: In/Out of camp
2.4 Protocol: Regular
2.5 Protocol: General CHT response
2.5.1     * Q: Do we guarantee "common destiny" for all crew?
2.5.2     * Q: Can keeper take emergency powers?
2.6 Protocol: Somebody goes ill
3.1 (readings)
3.2 Unionize !
3.3 Ask for higher wages !
3.4 Go on a rent strike !
3.5 Spread propaganda! Support those that do!
3.6 ARGUE/LOL -- "Capitalism is the best way to deliver goods"
4.2 DIY !!!
4.7 REPRESENTATION -- Infection trajectories & Live Data
4.8 LOL !
5 *** QQQ
5.1 [!!*] PR— Do we invite others worldwide in?
5.2 ... How to invite out-of-CHT copy of some patterns?
5.3 ... or be of some general use?
5.4 How to keep diagnostic criteria synchronised worldwide? (and, how to deal with them not being so?)
5.5 Are supermarket trips safe?
5.5.1     [!→] ... But we encourage different distribution/logistics methods
5.6 Secondary effects: Scenarios + Dealing with it
5.6.1     * economy crash + hyperinflation
5.6.2     * bedlam society
5.7 Do you "instantly" fall ill if you "touch" the contagion?
5.8 More isolating knowledge: How to deal with clothes, etc?
5.9 Do we need to sanitize food we bring in?
5.10 How to test for virus in Fuerte ?
5.11 Protocol: Reacting to a general pandemic?
5.12 Treatment: How to heal?
5.13 Outcome Demographics: Recovery, Complications & Death
5.14 Can people spread virus when they are asymptomatic?
5.15 Should we go and give blood?
5.16 Our response to local authorities? (David speech ~ 20200318)
5.17 Flattening the curve is a lie ?
5.18 [!!] How to get drugs (pills) without prescription? How to stock up?
5.19 How will it spread?
6 *** @CHT: TODO
6.1 [K] Buy: Thermometer @Pharmacy
6.2 [W~] Buy: Antibiotics & Drugs
6.2.1     Experimental Treatments "Could help" ?!
6.2.2    * oseltamivir aka "Tamiflu"
6.2.3     chloroquine
6.2.4     "musk cocktail"
6.2.5     * remdesivir
6.2.6     * zinc / zinc ionophores
6.2.7     * Tocilizumab
6.3 [!] Buy: Water Cache
6.4 [!] Make: Sanitizers
6.5 [!!] Buy: Gloves
6.6 [D] Buy: 2 bikes
7 *** @CHT: GETTING VAXED (2021/08)
7.1 * J&J seems weaker
7.2 * Don't mix mrna + adeno (not researched yet)
7.3 * JJ vs delta variant: different opinions
7.4 * "Breakthrough cases"
7.5 * % of protection interpretation (wtf does this mean)?
7.6 * Moderna > pfizer ?
8 *** LOG
8.1 ————————— 1
8.2 ————————— 2
9.1 ———————— PAD 1 ———————————
9.2 Coronavirus on surfaces
9.3 How to evade corona in the air?
9.7 [M!!] PILLS / DRUGS
9.8 Conspiracy: USA gov crippled, etc
9.9 Conspiracy: @wuhan source
9.10 USA to sue china ?!
9.11 #coordination / #fictioning (Italy)
9.12 Supply chains fail #corruption
9.13 #postprivacy "bio passports"
9.15 [!!] wow, do not take A-C-E vitamins ???
9.16 Contact tracers
9.17 On strains
9.18 conspiracy -- laowhy86 : "i found the source of the coronavirus"
9.19 ccc response (apps #privacy)
9.20 ———————— PAD 2 ———————————
9.21 Measles parties
9.22 General on pandemics
9.23 [M!!] Protocol: Newcomers (changes!)
9.24.1     HISTORIC
9.24.2     (NOW) in SELECT PLACES
9.24.3     FICTIONING ...
9.25 (GOOD) Virus might spread depending on climate (environment temperature / weather)
9.25.1     #1 : 5-11°C + low humidity
9.25.2     #2: 7-12°C
9.26 ETHICS -- selective help & priorities
9.27 Representation systems suck #antimedia
9.28 [!!] How does it spread? What precautions to take? What to keep in mind?
9.29 ??? How to resupply in practice
9.30 Concept: "SAFE ZONE"
9.31 Question of statistical differences (and, Counting deaths)
9.32 [!!] Protocol: STATE RESPONSES
9.33 (BAD) Spread & Contagion logic
9.34 (03/12) NHS doctor calls for UK measures
9.35 Wildlife / Animal transmission
9.36 STRICT -- Excuses to police for roaming around (Fuerteventura)
9.37 [!!] "Coronavirus as opportunity"
9.39 First person stories
9.40 [M!!→P] General advice & alternative medicines
9.41 !! - How to safely resupply/shop
9.42 SOCIALISM/SUPPLIES -- Kranj, Slovenia: uninspiring lim0 packages
9.43 SOCIALISM -- UK: Limits to shopping
9.44 ANARCHY -- Driving without ITV in spain?
9.45 BAD/LONGTERM/!! Post-infection complications & Long-term consequences
9.46 ANTIPOLITICS/POSTMEDIA/CONSPIRACY -- Spin on Shock Doctrine - Major disasters as cover-up for news to burry
9.47 MEDICINE -- Natural medicines, teas, etc
9.48 DIY -- Liquid breathing
9.49 DIY -- Hack on the Climate (5-11 temperature + low humidity) paper !
9.50 DIY - internet hackathons (becha / RIPE)
9.51 WTF/POLITICS/ANTICAPITALISM -- Dickhead Trump tried to buy and privatise vaccine from Germans
9.52 (BAD) Similar pandemics
9.53 [!] DIY/CHEM/CLEANING -- Heavy Desinfection
9.54 GUIDE— Anarchist Corona Survival guide
9.55 [!] (BAD) Secondary: viral cardiomyopathy
9.56 [!] DIY/PROJECT -- Monitor dangerous 5-11° weather
9.57 Conspiracy — (0311: death stats)
9.58 (0311: war profiteering)
9.59 (0311: #BOOMERCLEANER)
9.60 (0311: corona name-alikes)
9.61 CONSPIRACY: Wuhan 400 book
9.62 measures/socialism -- Government takes over production
9.63 DIY -- UV sterilization box (100€)
9.64 [!] MEDIC -- Secondary infections (bacterial)
9.65 "Corona actually saved lives"
9.66 [!] MEDIC -- ??? Decreases fertility
9.67 "India never gave the world pandemics"
9.68 MEDICAL— (0326) Hardcore ER MD clinial drill (New Orleans, USA)
9.69 Supply chains: Production & Distribution (case: masks)
9.70 MEDICAL— (BAD!) Central Apnea / myalgic encephalomyelitis (NEURO/BRAIN)
9.72 (BAD) It might spreads far further (~10 meters)
9.73 CONSPIRACY -- Is there an uptick in EU deaths? "Why not visible in stats?"
9.74 DIY -- Hacked Scuba gear ventilators ! ... & more
9.75 MEASURES— UBI as corona measurement in Spain
9.76 CONSPIRACY -- "Look at the weird German 2003 document, page 55"
9.77 MEDICAL— Oxygen supplementation: Ventilators (invasive) > CPAP machines > face mask
9.78 TOOLS/RS— Wow really nice models (SIR models)
9.79 VECTOR: pets
9.80 VECTOR: public toilets
9.81 Hygiene ...  ?
9.82 Surface transmission update
9.83 The saga of airborne transmission !
9.84 [!→] 101 -- Prevent viruses!
9.85 ——————— PAD 3 ——————————
9.86 2021/08: It's going not so good
9.87 "Delta plus" variant
9.88 ———————— POST-VAX ———————————
9.89 [!!*] VAX— Deciding on PFIZER vax GAP
9.90 VAX— Immunity when?
9.91 VAX— Comparison: Moderna>Pfizer (2021/08)
9.92 VAX/POLICIES— Not vaccinating the world "will come back and hurt us"
9.93 VAX— Sore arm
9.94 Covid politics (booster moratorium <WHO!)
9.95 VAX/ANTIVAX— "Side effects for vaccinating boys overweigh gains"
9.96 CONSPIRACY— "Gates covid simulation" in oct 2019 ("event 201")
9.97 CONSPIRACY— Report 2021-11-2# (by antivaxxer): "It was already there in early 2019"
9.98 MEDICAL— COVID<>HIV inter-relations, "mutation factory"
9.99 MEDICAL— Immune amnesia (measles)
9.100 "3x vax should be enough"
9.101 MEDICAL/CONSEQUENCES— Long term smell loss in 1% of patients
9.102 WRITEUPS/ANTIVAX—  "i'm not an expert, and neither are you"
9.103 ANTIVAX/POLEMICS/LONGTERM— "But what if we get complications in 20 years"
9.104 POLEMICS— Lower cognitive function → vaccine hesitancy
9.105 ANTIVAX— "low vaccination rates generally favor the emergence of new coronavirus mutations"
9.106 Story: early antigen test (2020/3) that wasn't approved (and antigen vs pcr testing)
9.107 ————— DOING DRAFT —————
9.108 (20200509) (merged back in) CORONA TRACKERS
9.109 COMMUNIQUES/SENT OUT — We think corona is a 5-11°C thing
9.110 ———————
9.111 LONGTERM— EBV→multiple sclerosis
9.112 LONGTERM — Covid→neurological
9.113 TREATMENT— Antiviral 
9.114 [×] PERSONAL/PSYCHO— Infection come closer ... Still, I make riskier choices ("acceptance/giving up")
9.115 Omicron early symptoms: Shoulder/Leg muscle pain
9.116 Another look at Long Covid
9.117 [M!] POLITICS/ORGA— Why is political calculation so terrible?
9.118 [!!*] POLITICS– Airborne = non-individual responsibility
9.119 [!!*] ANTISCIENCE— Airborn fail — why didn't we "know" for a year?
9.120 [!!*] So, does vaccination decrease viral load??
9.121 [!*] VARIANTS— "IHU"
9.122 [!*] ORGA— Covid as a massive management challenge (but also, opportunity to evaluate models)
9.123 new variants
9.124 20220221: D gets covid
9.125 TREATMENT— "sotrovimab"
9.126 SYMPTOMS— Kidney pain (or is it "lower back pain")?
9.127 TREATMENT— Anti-inflammatory, like ibuprofen
9.128 TREATMENT— Breathing during/post COVID
9.129 SYMPTOMS— Chest pain
9.130 SYMPTOMS— Hoarse voice
9.131 SYMPTOMS— Weird headache
9.132 Deltacron variant
9.133 [m!!] COVID brain damage :(
9.134 SYMPTOMS/NEURO— "Brain melting"
9.135 [!!**] Re-infection time?
9.136 VARIANT— BA.5 is immune resistant?
9.137 [!!] TESTING/ORDERING— Antigen/rapid tests: spike VS nucleocapsid protein detecting
9.138 Long covid : around 3% have it
9.139 Potential of OM-85 (general anti-pulmo infections agent)


Worldwide Status
Stats & graphs, per country
(+) also historic data
(-) can't scale graphs
(-) no lockdowns info & categorization
(-) can't direct download data
(+) has lockdown chart:
    (-) can't zoom, can't see dates
(+) "% of peak"
(+) per country
(-) "Assuming every person needs 2 doses" in vax count is off by now (many have 3)
Dashboard !! #map
(-) no good local history
Full worldwide info:
    also: (vaccine rolout)
Simple map + stats
(--) UPDATE: gone 20211223
worldwide lockdowns map
(-) no clear categorization

<--------------------- (new) BASIC ↑

______________________________________________ LESSER
Graphs per country (Singapore centered)
nice map & visual stats. open in private mode.
... similar (stats!)
Good video updates from Dr.Seheult

Status @ Canarias

    * official map (grafcan)

A map with current situation:

In the news:
    * [...]

Phone (for suspected cases):
    The Consejería de Sanidad have activated a freephone number 900 112 061. Calls will be answered by a nursing team who are on hand to advise residents with any concerns and how to deal with suspected cases of Coronavirus.


Protection / prevention 101

* Handwashing

* Face Mask:
    Careful with beards! Must not cross mask!

* Eye protection !:
    The experts aren't wrong.  A mask by itself doesn't help.  You also need eye protection.  And serious hand washing.  And regular disinfecting of all surfaces you come into contact with.  Unless you do all of that it is too easy to infect yourself despite wearing a mask.

* Not touching face (eyes, nose, mouth)

* Hydrating

* Nutrition:
    zinc, vitamin D, etc.

[R!] Protocol: New Resident


Protocol: In/Out of camp

    * Prepare stuff for getting back in
    * Prepare 2x package of gloves
    * Take sanitizer, eye mask, etc
    * Take a change of clothes
    * Sanitize car surfaces (driving wheel, etc)

    * Sanitize
    * Remove clothes
    * Sanitize
    * Take a swim
    * Change clothes, put in bag, leave for 5 days
    * controlled load + unload
    * [...]

Protocol: Regular

* Health checks
* Note down all symptoms
* [...]

Protocol: General CHT response

* No more "fun trips"

* No public transport

* Stay away from "peak hours" when needing to go (shopping, doctor, etc):
    (if there still is sth like that)

* No visitors

* 2m distance + do not stand downwind from people

* [...]

    * Q: Do we guarantee "common destiny" for all crew?

... or will it be taken away?

    * Q: Can keeper take emergency powers?

What is the limit of Keeper powers?

Protocol: Somebody goes ill

How do you take care of somebody at home?
(If you are not yet infected?)


main → 🔗struggling
[!!*] ###EXPAND

Unionize !

My advice is to stay home if your employer lets you. If they don’t let you telecommute, organize your coworkers into a collective that has the ability to bully your employer into submission

Ask for higher wages !

Spread propaganda! Support those that do!

Thanks Britney

ARGUE/LOL -- "Capitalism is the best way to deliver goods"

Obviously, that's why we're all switching to capitalism now!</sarcasm>

<--------------------------------------------- (new) REVOLUTIONARY RESPONSES


the monkeys with re-exposure showed no recurrence of COVID-19, similarly to the infected monkey without rechallenge
Rhesus macaques can be effectively infected with SARS-CoV-2 via ocular conjunctival route
Shield your eyes !
(Wear that face shield/goggles)
Some of the respiratory symptoms may be attributable to CENTRAL APNEA, that is, a dysfunction in the brainstem's ability to tell your lungs to breathe #COVIDー19

<------------------------------------------------ (new) SCI ARTICLES ↑

on vaccine, mutations, etc


    wow ...... #postprivacy

    SLO solidarity initiative

    SLO knowhow

    SLO solidarity initiative

    !!!!!! check
    has this weird "joedocs" editing system

<---------------------- (new) INFOS ↑


<---------------------------- (new) INFORMATIVE READING

REPRESENTATION -- Infection trajectories & Live Data
USA simulation of different strategies (per state) !

<---------------------------- (new) INFECTION TRAJECTORIES

calculator #RS

* Jose Saramago, Portuguese writer, living in Lanzarote, wrote Blindness:
    "Blindness is the story of an unexplained mass epidemic of blindness afflicting nearly everyone in an unnamed city, and the social breakdown that swiftly follows."

<---------------------------- (new) LOL


COVID-19 Apps & Systems - 
Yet another  list of Covid-19 app and system efforts from around the world from and by Oxford HCC 
This (originally internal) document sought to organise the major global  COVID-19 app and system efforts to gain an understanding of: 1) what problems are being addressed,  2) major privacy and usability challenges posed by these challenges 3) opportunities for HCI, Privacy and HCI researchers to help.  

*** QQQ

[!!*] PR— Do we invite others worldwide in?


... How to invite out-of-CHT copy of some patterns?

... or be of some general use?

* organiazation & distribution help?
* blood donation?
* buidlup work volunteering?
* ###

How to keep diagnostic criteria synchronised worldwide? (and, how to deal with them not being so?)

And prevent spin?

    [!→] ... But we encourage different distribution/logistics methods

We don't need to do supermarkets, that shopping format is a nonsense capitalist past-time.

#supply #logistics

Terms of delivery:
    There should be drop-off points
    Food should be sanitised

Terms of distribution:
    Must report current own supplies
    Based on factors beyond cash

Secondary effects: Scenarios + Dealing with it

🔗doomsday, #fictioning

    * economy crash + hyperinflation


    * bedlam society


Do you "instantly" fall ill if you "touch" the contagion?

* How would you classify, rate the immunity response?

* What is the "minimum dose of virus"?

* Can you prevent infection post-exposure?

More isolating knowledge: How to deal with clothes, etc?
(UPDATE: This is pre-airborne period)

* do not shake the clothes (to avoid spreading virus trough air)

* wash at highest temperature possible

* Sunbath: 
    """Ultraviolet light can be a really powerful disinfectant and we get a lot of UVA light from the sun"""

Do we need to sanitize food we bring in?

* No, it spreads trough respiratory not trough digestion
   ... but keep on sanitising your hands...

How to test for virus in Fuerte ?


Protocol: Reacting to a general pandemic?
[M!] @@doomsday/@@contingencies

* Water + food supplies?

Treatment: How to heal?

* Which pills to get in advance?
* Which hospital to go to?

    * normal home care
    * paracetamol !
    * [...]

    * oxygenation
    * respiration
    * [...]

Outcome Demographics: Recovery, Complications & Death
"avg age ~81 years, 90% >70 years)

But how about other complications?
[!!] non-lethal morbid outcomes

Can people spread virus when they are asymptomatic?

== yes!
actually very infectious then.

Should we go and give blood?

== not if we are having a lot of sex, or even protected
If you have any reason to believe you may have acquired an infection through unprotected sex, you should not give blood. Safe sex practices are vital to the prevention of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections. However, 'protected sex' is not 100% effective; therefore the following apply even if a condom or other form of protection was used.

Our response to local authorities? (David speech ~ 20200318)
@@diplomacy [→!!]

_____________ ENG SPEECH

* The locals advised me I could stay here, I don't have a house in Fuerteventura
* We do not need to go anywhere - we have supplies for 2 weeks. That is, we believe, the smartest thing to do
* We are members of the local community. You can check this with the locals.
* I am the owner of this van property, and as these guys have a difficult time going back. We decided we are okay here, pose no public threat.
* We can also help to the local population, as we are young. We are in stand-by.
* I personally have been living in Canarias for 9 winters. I do not think I have a formal residency status, but this is only a formal difference - I am a resident of Spain, respect the laws and respect people, and vice-versa.
* [...]

_____________ ESP TRANSLATION


me aconsejó:

Flattening the curve is a lie ?

Based on Chinese data, we can estimate that about 20% of COVID-19 cases are severe and require hospitalization. However, many severe cases will survive if they can be adequately provided for at home (which may include oxygen, IVs and isolation).
About 5% of all COVID-19 cases need intensive care, and without it, all of them will die.

[!!] How to get drugs (pills) without prescription? How to stock up?

* if you're going to middle of nowhere ... for yourself

* ... or to deliver to others ...

* if you know a doctor ...

* if there are gray markets ...

* or countries where it's ok to sell, and have generics, and there is a reliable shop ...


ties to 🔗markets !


How will it spread?

David Troy It seems to me to depend on containment measures. Given the course we are on I would guess mid-May or June, but we just don’t know how it will respond to heat or the various measures being taken.
    Mike Butcher David Troy so peak this is *at the earliest* or properly peaking when?

David Troy Mike Butcher lot of factors to consider, so take this with several grains of salt.

- 3 day doubling rate, May 16
- 5 day doubling rate, July 3
- 7 day doubling rate, August 20

Right now we are closer to a 3 day doubling rate, but many factors to confound that. But this may drive a lot of decision-making.

Mike Butcher David Troy so 3 day doubling puts the peak in June? What about the others?

David Troy Mike Butcher no I would say 3 day doubling peaks May 16, then the rest of the dates for the other rates.

Charles Wiles Mike Butcher Over the last four days the number of cases in the UK increased from 51 to 273 or 5.35x. That means the number of cases in the UK is now doubling every 1.65 days.

<---------------------------------------------------- (new) QQQ ↑

*** @CHT: TODO

[K] Buy: Thermometer @Pharmacy

[W~] Buy: Antibiotics & Drugs

    Experimental Treatments "Could help" ?!

stockpile these and more in future !!!
#postcorona #lim0

    * [...]

   * oseltamivir aka "Tamiflu"
"""Antiviral treatment (75 mg of oseltamivir taken orally every 12 hours) was provided for the 4 patients"""
The cost for the Tamiflu brand may be around $175. However, there is a generic version of this antiviral drug that may cost about $135 for a 10-dose prescription. Tamiflu (oseltamivir) is generally prescribed in 75 mg capsules for people who are 13 years of age and older


    "musk cocktail"

For direct antiviral treatment of SARS-CoV-2, CPAM recommendsuse of lopinavir; ritonavir [2 capsule (dose undefined) by mouth twice daily] in combination with nebulized alfa-interferon(5 million units in Sterile Water for Injection inhaled twice daily). CPAMhas based this recommendation on weak evidence from retrospective cohort, historically controlled studies, case reports, and case series that suggestclinical benefitoflopinavir; ritonavir in the treatmentofother coronavirusinfection[i.e.,2002 SARS-CoVand2012 Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV)].(4) (8)(7)
However, treatment with lopinavir 400 mg; ritonavir 100 mg (2 tablets by mouth twice daily) or chloroquine (500 mg by mouth twice daily) should be considered for use in older patients or patients with under underlying conditions and serious symptoms. If chloroquine is unavailable, they recommend considering use of hydroxychloroquine (400 mg by mouth once daily). Use of ribavirin and interferon were not recommended as first-line treatments because of the risk for side effects; however, use of these medications may be considered if treatment with lopinavir; ritonavir, chloroquine, or hydroxychloroquine are ineffective
loading: 400mg + 2x200mg


    * zinc / zinc ionophores


    * Tocilizumab

Proizvajalec tocilizumaba, farmacevtska družba Roche, pa je že sporočil, da bo italijanskim bolnišnicam, ki bodo za to zaprosile, zdravilo podaril, poroča La Repubblica na spletni strani.
Kot pojasnjujejo zdravniki, je prednost tega zdravila tudi v tem, da je že dlje časa v uporabi in torej preizkušeno s stališča varnosti uporabe.
Podobno velja za zdravilo remdesivir, sicer namenjeno zdravljenju ebole. Tudi to zdravilo v Italiji na podlagi priporočil WHO zdaj že uporabljajo kot eksperimentalno terapijo proti covidu-19.


french treatment:

Fujifilm Toyama Chemical, which developed the drug – also known as Avigan – in 2014, has declined to comment on the claims.
The same limitations had been identified in studies involving coronavirus patients using a combination of the HIV antiretrovirals lopinavir and ritonavir, the source added.


How about anti-shingles antiviral drugs?
Herpes zoster is usually treated with orally administered acyclovir. Other antiviral medications include famciclovir and valacyclovir
("decrease symptoms for 30%, help heal")

[!] Buy: Water Cache

Buy 10 x 8L water (=10€).
This is one month for 2 people.
Dig it somewhere in the desert.

[!] Make: Sanitizers

As formulated by the WHO:

Essential oil based stuff:

[!!] Buy: Gloves


[D] Buy: 2 bikes

<---------------------- (NOW) DECIDED/TODO ↑
[!!] reorg

*** @CHT: GETTING VAXED (2021/08)

* J&J seems weaker
The CDC reports J&J/Janssen vaccine was 66.3% effective in clinical trials at preventing COVID-19 illness in people who had no evidence of prior infection 2 weeks after receiving the vaccine.
While the overall effectiveness data may suggest the J&J candidate isn't quite as strong as the two-dose Pfizer and Moderna options, all of the world’s COVID-19 vaccines have been tested differently, making comparisons nearly impossible, CNBC reported.

* Don't mix mrna + adeno (not researched yet)
"""Dr. Hana Mohammed El Sahly, a molecular virology and microbiology expert at Baylor College of Medicine, is not one of those researchers—and she says she wouldn’t recommend that course of action. “Until we have better data, it probably is not wise to go and get [additional] vaccines unless it’s part of a clinical trial,” she says."""

* JJ vs delta variant: different opinions
says good
(pre print) says JJ is worse with Delta
cites above .. saying it's bad
A new study led by New York University’s Grossman School of Medicine found the vaccine isn’t nearly as effective as two-dose mRNA vaccines against the lambda and delta variants.
Lindquist said there are no signs Johnson & Johnson is performing more poorly than the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines against the delta variant. The state’s data shows breakthrough cases — when someone who is fully vaccinated gets an infection — is in proportion to the amount of each vaccine administered in Washington.

* "Breakthrough cases"

"According to DOH’s most recent report, there have been 3,446 breakthrough cases between Jan. 17 and July 17 in Washington."
interesting for #vocab ... for @@catalyst etc

* % of protection interpretation (wtf does this mean)?

"Consistently after receiving the vaccine, there was very little death occurring in the vaccinated group as compared to the control group and showing a remarkable up-to 96.2% protection against death," Gray said.

Given that ~1.5% (Slo, USA) of diagnosed cases die?

*** LOG

————————— 1


Mar 7: first case in Fuerte

Mar 12: first case in Lanzarote

Mar 16: 6 cases in Fuerte

April 5: ~35 cases. Guardia + Military upkeep not less. We haven't been outside the village in ~3 weeks.

July 30: Seems second wave incoming:
    Fuerte: 140 cases
    PdC worst in all the islands (for the migrant situation some days ago)
    Canarias: 180k tests, 2.4% positive


    CHT crew gets 2nd vax (Pfizer'd) @Fuerteventura

————————— 2


    First spotted in the Guardian.

    UK change course, to correct its stupid strategy

    Sky tells people Oxford said maybe 2/3 are infected. Why?

    Last plane Spain -> Slovenia.
    USA filled up. 2-4x expected in next 10 days. Will for sure take lead in deaths from Spain soon.
    Madrid: Palacio de Hielo turned into a morgue.

    Spain toughens up. Suspends all non-essential jobs:
    We get visited by Seprona. Negotiate to stay, if we don't move for a month.

    more strict in slovenia:

??? slovenia closing eu borders
    have to do a virus check to get in
### no date

_______ 2021

    situation in Fuerte worse than ever
    I'm calling to try getting the vaccine tomorrow


    Omicron hard in Belgium, culture closed (but protests reopeend)
    Talk about 4th shot (most are taking 3rd)
    Omicron more contagious seems "less strong", talk about "seasonal virus" that "we'll live with"
    Fear of new varieties ("Fluorene"? "South of France virus")
    Public opinion seems to normalize (even spoke with Med Doc recently) fears of cardio-problems for vaxx

<----------------------------------------- (new)(now) (LOG) TIMELINE ↑


———————— PAD 1 ———————————

Coronavirus on surfaces

== Up to 9 days


study on how long corona survives on diff surfaces:
But how long can the new coronavirus linger on surfaces, anyway? The short answer is, we don't know. A new analysis found that the virus can remain viable in the air for up to 3 hours, on copper for up to 4 hours, on cardboard up to 24 hours and on plastic and stainless steel up to 72 hours. This study was originally published in the preprint database medRxiv on March 11,  and now a revised version was published March 17 in The New England Journal of Medicine

They concluded that if this new coronavirus resembles other human coronaviruses, such as its "cousins" that cause SARS and MERS, it can stay on surfaces —  such as metal, glass or plastic — for as long as nine days (In comparison, flu viruses can last on surfaces for only about 48 hours.)

How to evade corona in the air?

[!] I was in the shop for 1 hour, making a massive shop:
    Is this dumb?

[!] Being downwind, even few meters away ... from somebody who is coughing?



    * check what the goverments are already organizing
    * collect, systematically, what they're doing (#POLICY.ANALYSIS)
    * [...]

(early frags, via desktop)

ties to 🔗doomsday


____________________________ scenario X1

turns out disease is much worse than it appeared.
it is much more virulant - spreads in the air, stays on surface for ~2 weeks, etc.
it has already infected total majorities (>50%) in "red zone territories", most global cities.
it stays in the body and recurrs.
months after, it leads to chronic respiratory and neural malfunctions.
drugs are developed, but expensive and toxic.

    the non-infected, if ahead of the curve, head for the hills with 3 month supplies.
    they quarantine supplies strictly, take precautions and capitalize on their luck.
    in this time, while having a strict 100m+ quarantine - no contact -, governments in select territories either reorganize, or are replaced/subsumed by groups providing a new reimagination of basic infrastructure:
        * energy
        * water
        * no-contact food supplies

questions are:
    * is a 1000€ run on the shop ethical?
    * until when will it be permitted?
    * [...]


5€ PPPD x 2 = 10€ PD
100 days = 1000€

we would definitely need:
    * extra gas bomb for cooking
    * [...]


some new protocols and practices:
    * you need a gas bomb? → break into vacant houses and recycle
    * water? → find an aljibe
    * people are wandering around, without supplies → you are spotted → makes you a target:


Loss of appetite was most common (~80%),
diarrhea (~30%),
vomiting (~1%) and
abdominal pain (~ .5%).
Around 3% of patients had only digestive symptoms without any respiratory symptoms whatsoever.


Kristen Godfrey
There is a Japanese anti-viral that is equally well-known but easier to tolerate.
Redicimvir and Avigan are both being tested in Japan and were used in China.
"Interferon Alfa 2B" from Cuba
antiviral drug (1986)

USA to sue china ?!
The U.S. and its allies also could try to sue China before an international tribunal, such as the International Court of Justice, although countries have never been sued for their violation of infectious-disease treaties
huh, They want to erase USA-China debt with this shit.
In War on the Rocks, James Kraska asserted that China violated international law on infectious diseases and, under international legal principles of state responsibility, has an obligation to make full reparation for the harm done through, among other things, compensation that could amount to trillions of dollars. At least one class action lawsuit against China has been filed in federal court seeking damages suffered from the COVID-19 pandemic.

#coordination / #fictioning (Italy)
#fictioning #dramaturgy
everywhere is the same ........
is a better #coordination possible?

Supply chains fail #corruption

wtf #antijanša #anticapitalism

#patterns : crisis corruption, war profiteering

#postprivacy "bio passports"

so yeah, here we are
 In short, a reopening of the economy would likely entail the introduction of a smartphone based "bio-passport", where any person who wishes to "reenter society" will have to not only undergo some form of daily testing to confirm they are virus free, but also effectively hand over most if not all privacy to the government. Needless to say, the long-term sociological consequences of such a collectivization of private information will be unlike anything seen in recent history.


    move to a place where people organize a new place where there is no vaccines
    like some desert place in wherever, asia, whatnot
    self quarantine there for a year
    wait for the other people to show cognitive decline or none or whatever

    take it as soon as it is out. don't listen to scary antivax talk

C) ???

[!!] wow, do not take A-C-E vitamins ???

conspiracy -- laowhy86 : "i found the source of the coronavirus"

lol what a dork

———————— PAD 2 ———————————

Measles parties

4) best idea of all is unconscionable: like ‘measles parties’ of the 1800s, encourage healthy 20-50 year olds to catch the virus ASAP and self-quarantine, thus reducing its transmissibility to older people in subsequent months...

[M!!] Protocol: Newcomers (changes!)

* where were you?
* did you take any precautions?
* are you ready for a quarantine and "emergency powers"?
* [...]


Open questions, pitfalls, opportunities ...
Draconian measures & unsurprising failures & surprising turns.



* strict/everyday -- make city quarantines
* medic -- build emergency hospitals
* everyday/collapse -- random emptying out of stores
* strict -- close airports
* strict -- close schools
* collapse -- war profiteering (@fuerteventura: example of lies with private doctor)
* medic/strict -- non-emergency medicine suspended


* strict -- all police under control of ministry
* strict -- make it a crime to not respect protocols
* aid/socialism -- (Kranj, SLO) counties assembling & delivering food aid packages
* strict -- military on the streets
* strict -- bicycles are banned


* collapse/medic -- you cannot easily get tested anymore
* strict -- no moving without permits
* wow/collapse -- for most: somebody you knows has the disease
* wow/collapse -- for most: somebody you know dies
* collapse/medic -- you cannot easily get tested anymore
* medic/collapse -- total hospitals overload, told to stay at home even for bad disease cases
* everyday/collapse -- bank runs
* strict -- ban funerals, only hold cremations (Ita, China)
* medic/wow -- street sprayers
* summer 2020 events cancelled (EMF camp @ UK)



* collapse/psycho -- next-level societal panic
* everyday/law -- law-defined strict microprotocols for shopping
* everyday/collapse -- complete emptying out of stores (no food, no water), for 1 week +
* wtf/collapse/psycho -- lunatics on the street, doing crazy things
* politics/collapse -- currency collapses + massive inflation loops
* politics/revolution -- really big rent strike
* politics/revolution -- somebody you know is put in prison for rent strikes
* politics/revolution -- some sort of a global strike ?
* politics -- some sort of a fascistoid response to a global strike?
* politics/media -- some sort of a media spin response to a global strike?
* virus -- a weird mutation of virus happens?
* virus -- a cure is found?
* virus -- a vaccine is found?
* infra -- critical infrastructure crumbles: electricity, water, power
* infra -- internet goes down. sat communication is still there, though.
* strict/me -- i get called home as a foreigner
* legal -- attacking somebody getting too close is self defense
* wtf/politics -- turns out it was a bio-strike, but Good Guys, posadism-like
_______ 0325
* wtf -- remours of infertility in males
* wtf -- remours of reinfection get stronger
* collapse/wtf -- stronger indications this will go on for 18 months or more

* turns out Variant X will persist in your body
* a antivax party wins/is included in (right wing) coalition in some territory
* ... vacciness get privatised and get expensive
* turns out it was all a scam lol
* turns out the mycoardiac problems ("dead football players") are real
* multi-pandemic
* Trump gets back in 2024
* Western imperialism blames China some more and goes to war
* ###

<----------------------------- (new)(NOW) FICTIONING REALITIES ... ABOVE

(GOOD) Virus might spread depending on climate (environment temperature / weather)

    #1 : 5-11°C + low humidity
Temperature, Humidity and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19
14 Pages Posted: 9 Mar 2020 Last revised: 17 Mar 2020 

03/21: doesn't work: this is one short of it:

Findings: To date, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by SARS-CoV-2, has established significant community spread in cities and regions along a narrow east west distribution roughly along the 30-50o N’ corridor at consistently similar weather patterns consisting of average temperatures of 5-11oC, combined with low specific (3-6 g/kg) and absolute humidity (4-7 g/m3). There has been a lack of significant community establishment in expected locations that are based only on population proximity and extensive population interaction through travel. 

Interpretation: The distribution of significant community outbreaks along restricted latitude, temperature, and humidity are consistent with the behavior of a seasonal respiratory virus.

    * (mentions study group established @ Utah uni, no results yet)
    * [...]

    #2: 7-12°C

Posted February 25, 2020.
The curves shared similar shapes. Under the circumstance of lower temperature, every 1℃ increase in average, minimum and maximum temperatures led to an increase of the cumulative number of cases by 0.83, 0.82 and 0.83 respectively

The apexes of the minimum temperature and the maximum temperature were 6.70℃ and 12.42℃ respectively

ETHICS -- selective help & priorities

having all the solutions ready for the many Danes concerned, but we are in an extraordinary situation
"Under normal circumstances, a government would not present such far-reaching measures without having all the solutions ready for the many Danes concerned, but we are in an extraordinary situation."  


National situations (link!!!):
    * Italian doctor guidelines
    * NHS guidelines
    * [...]

Representation systems suck #antimedia

* All is "news" coverage

* There's no one-stop topical info .....


Ties to 🔗postmedia !

[!!] How does it spread? What precautions to take? What to keep in mind?
Last for up to 3 days on surfaces, 3 hours in the air.
"""A new analysis found that the virus can remain viable in the air for up to 3 hours, on copper for up to 4 hours, on cardboard up to 24 hours and on plastic and stainless steel up to 2 to 3 days. However, this study, which was published in the preprint database medRxiv on Wednesday (March 11),  has not yet yet been peer-reviewed."""


    * do NOT touch anything in public (door handles, etc)
    * change clothes upon arriving
    * goods from shop must be considered contaminated
    * (etc)

??? How to resupply in practice

* Should we hoard water now? And store it somewhere?
* ... food?
* what kind of strategies would be useful/good/ethical, to redistribute to others, if in need?
* ... is it moral to take this power/responsibility?
* [...]

Concept: "SAFE ZONE"

... everything from outside of it is not, and needs special care.

Question of statistical differences (and, Counting deaths)

<M: "italy test all people who die, that's why they have different statistics"

The questions are:
    How many people did you test?
    We have 24 now (03/28), but how many tested negative?
    With which testing method?
    How many called, were likely candidates, but were told to stay at home?

[!!] Protocol: STATE RESPONSES

via :
The early and heavy handed steps not limited to but including:
    * travel restrictions,
    * business and school closures,
    * mandatory quarantines,
    * public transportation/highway shutdowns,
    * rapid hospital construction, and
    * unprecedented cooperation between the state and national industries all seem to have born fruit.


Slovenian Gov Response: General mandated Quarantine (~0315)

Nekaj odgovorov na nejasnosti in vprašanja, ki jih je prejela vlada, je pojasnil takole:
Ali lahko sprehajamo psa? Da, ampak ena oseba in da se pri tem izogiba stikov z drugimi. 
Ali lahko kolesarimo? Da. Posamično ali družina. Kolesarjenje, sprehajanje je mogoče na parkovnih, sprehajalnih površinah.
Ali lahko gremo v gozd? Da. Posamično ali družina. Brez socialnih stikov z drugimi osebami.
Ali lahko grem na svoj vrt, ki ni zraven hiše? Da, sami in tam opravite sami, se ne družite.
Ali lahko imam piknik na svojem balkonu za prijatelje? Ne
Ali lahko grem na svoj vikend, ki je izzven moje občine? Da, sam ali z družino. Ne, da se tam družite z drugimi osebami. 
Kaj če je družina večja od 5 oseb? Ni omejitve. Lahko so skupaj. 

(BAD) Spread & Contagion logic

The virus can grow easily in people’s noses and throats and may be transmitted before people are aware they are sick, a new study suggests.
But a new study of nine people who contracted the virus in Germany suggests that people are mainly contagious before they have symptoms and in the first week of the disease.

In the resulting models, estimated median incubation time (IT) of COVID-19 was 5.1 days; mean IT was 5.5 days. For 97.5% of infected persons, symptoms appear by 11.5 days. Fewer than 2.5% are symptomatic within 2.2 days. Estimated median IT to fever was 5.7 days.

Wildlife / Animal transmission


Unclear / differing reports if pets can get ill or spread it !

STRICT -- Excuses to police for roaming around (Fuerteventura)

Only 1 person in car !

* On the way to pharmacy / buying food

* On the way to help some old person

* Donating Blood
Necesidad de donar sangre
El Instituto Canario de Hemodonación y Hemoterapia (ICHH) insiste en la importancia de donar sangre en estos días a fin de poner mantener las reservas necesarias para las necesidades sanitarias ya que la sangre caduca y se prevé que en los próximos días la demanda aumente.

* [...]

Previous studies on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mainly focused on epidemiological, clinical, and radiological features of patients with confirmed infection.1-4 Little attention has been paid to the follow-up of recovered patients.


[M!!→P] General advice & alternative medicines

great list ...:
    * " Lots of leafy green vegetables and meat broths will help keep you healthy. Diet is crucial. Sleep is crucial. Less stress is good. Nurture yourselves."
    * elderberry + zinc + vit c + vit d + mag + 
    * selenium
    * b complex
    * NAC N-Acetyl-L-Cysteine 750 mg  twice daily
    * Astragalus root
    * Cucurmin or tumeric
 Mullein infusion, tincture or tea helps clear the lungs. Perhaps add coltsfoot.
 Cleavers infusion, tincture or tea, clears debris from the lymph system which will advance healing.
 Calendula and liquorice root have both been recommended by researchers but I don’t know much myself.
 Garlic, obviously. Look up how to use a garlic mash on the feet for a dramatic cure! You can burn yourself badly so I urge you to research the method before you try this.
 Rosemary is of great interest right now. I would get a plant and start drinking tea and eating it in food.. it is strong stuff! It has many compounds that are particularly effective apparently.
 Mushrooms are potent and effective. I would advise using a TCM practitioner with these unless you are already accustomed to using them. 
 Turkey Tail,
 Lions Mane, &
 Cordyceps (probably long gone from stores as the Chinese know how well this worked on SARS).  Use a TCM practitioner for advice.

SOCIALISM/SUPPLIES -- Kranj, Slovenia: uninspiring lim0 packages

(Gov doing lim0)

BAD/LONGTERM/!! Post-infection complications & Long-term consequences

MEDICINE -- Natural medicines, teas, etc

* salvia <martin.ukmar
* in cesen "namocen" v med
* tudi! Pa še kakšna rožica za odpornost se najde, tudi rman, meta, materina dušica, tropotec in šipek, ki je poln vitamina C.. Pa še polno zelenjave s čilijem na krožniku in kak šnopček...

Več o trpotcu je zapisano tukaj:

Dobila sem tudi nasvet, naj poskusim s čajem Lapuha in Pljučnika, ki naj bi pomagala pri pljučnih obolenjih.

DIY -- Hack on the Climate (5-11 temperature + low humidity) paper !

* get weather data:
    * real historic
    * average historic
* try to find fit
* did other people do this ???

* run economic simulations saying where equipment should go !
* [...]

DIY - internet hackathons (becha / RIPE)

~ March 30 etc

WTF/POLITICS/ANTICAPITALISM -- Dickhead Trump tried to buy and privatise vaccine from Germans

(BAD) Similar pandemics

Don't make this like swine flu (H1N1)

[!] DIY/CHEM/CLEANING -- Heavy Desinfection

For example, disinfectants with 62-71% ethanol, 0.5% hydrogen peroxide or 0.1% sodium hypochlorite (bleach) can "efficiently" inactivate coronaviruses within a minute, according to the study

#TOBUY [!]



GUIDE— Anarchist Corona Survival guide

"""The authorities can do virtually anything in the name of protecting our health—right up to killing us."""

[!] (BAD) Secondary: viral cardiomyopathy

Glad you're feeling better! If it's COVID-19 do watch out for a second phase viral cardiomyopathy which if occurce has an onset after a latency/improvement period of about 24 - 48hr (without hydroxychloroquine in described cases).

[!] DIY/PROJECT -- Monitor dangerous 5-11° weather

Historic weather API?:
    * asked on wire
    * [...]

Conspiracy — (0311: death stats)
vrag je zares vzel šalo. Italija kaže, da so nam Kitajci dejansko lagali. Merkel je rekla, da bo 60-70% okuženih, WHO pravi smrtnost 3.4% zaenkrat, Italija ima 6 in celo 8%. 

(0311: war profiteering)

    * lies doctor "everyone is coughing ... pay me money!"
    * hand sanitzers (and stupidity of market signals)


A: "if it kills all the boomers ... including my parents ... i sign it?! because, we get bernie sanders and jezza corbyn..."
B: "actually ... they're boomers too"

(0311: corona name-alikes)

corona beer
monte corona (lanzarote volcano mountain)
corona direct (belgium car insurance)

DIY -- UV sterilization box (100€)
It uses UV-C wavelength light to kill Coronavirus (must be UV-C and NOT UV-A or UV-B, according to my research). UV-C in range of 250-280nm is the sweet spot. (nanometer wavelength).
"UVC radiation, in the range of 250 nm - 280 nm, renders harmful micro-organisms such as bacteria and viruses ineffective, by destroying the genetic information in the DNA. The micro-organisms lose their reproductive capability and are destroyed."

[!] MEDIC -- Secondary infections (bacterial)

A theory for why the death rate in Italy is so high:

I just read something interesting: Secondary infections (mostly bacterial) account for a large proportion of covid-19 deaths, because the virus itself attacks the immune system, which then can no longer defend itself against additional bacteria. Normally, this is treated with antibiotics and that's it.

Only Italy has a big problem with antibiotic resistant bacteria (~11000 deaths per year vs. 69 in Norway), wh. due to the high antibiotic content in the breeding meat. Apparently Lombardy is a centre for ham production and therefore badly affected. The same applies to Spain.
Original link: Aftenposten

"Corona actually saved lives"

Per "second order" numeric of deaths...

Using the He et al 2016 estimates of the impact of changes in PM on mortality, I calculate that having 2 months of 10ug/m3 reductions in PM2.5 likely has saved the lives of 4,000 kids under 5 and 73,000 adults over 70 in China.  Using even more conservative estimates of 10% reduction in mortality per 10ug change, I estimate 1400 under-5 lives saved and 51700 over-70 lives saved.  Even under these more conservative assumptions, the lives saved due to the pollution reductions are roughly 20x the number of lives that have been directly lost to the virus (based on March 8 estimates of 3100 Chinese COVID-19 deaths, taken from here).

[!] MEDIC -- ??? Decreases fertility

mid/long term?

MEDICAL— (0326) Hardcore ER MD clinial drill (New Orleans, USA)

Bruce Randolph Tizes
1 hr
Repost from another group. Interesting read.
 "I am an ER MD in New Orleans. Class of 98. Every one of my colleagues have now seen several hundred Covid 19 patients and this is what I think I know.
 Clinical course is predictable.
 2-11 days after exposure (day 5 on average) flu like symptoms start. Common are fever, headache, dry cough, myalgias(back pain), nausea without vomiting, abdominal discomfort with some diarrhea, loss of smell, anorexia, fatigue.
 Day 5 of symptoms- increased SOB, and bilateral viral pneumonia from direct viral damage to lung parenchyma.
 Day 10- Cytokine storm leading to acute ARDS and multiorgan failure. You can literally watch it happen in a matter of hours.
 81% mild symptoms, 14% severe symptoms requiring hospitalization, 5% critical.
 Patient presentation is varied. Patients are coming in hypoxic (even 75%) without dyspnea. I have seen Covid patients present with encephalopathy, renal failure from dehydration, DKA. I have seen the bilateral interstitial pneumonia on the xray of the asymptomatic shoulder dislocation or on the CT's of the (respiratory) asymptomatic polytrauma patient. Essentially if they are in my ER, they have it. Seen three positive flu swabs in 2 weeks and all three had Covid 19 as well. Somehow this ***** has told all other disease processes to get out of town.
 China reported 15% cardiac involvement. I have seen covid 19 patients present with myocarditis, pericarditis, new onset CHF and new onset atrial fibrillation. I still order a troponin, but no cardiologist will treat no matter what the number in a suspected Covid 19 patient. Even our non covid 19 STEMIs at all of our facilities are getting TPA in the ED and rescue PCI at 60 minutes only if TPA fails.
 CXR- bilateral interstitial pneumonia (anecdotally starts most often in the RLL so bilateral on CXR is not required). The hypoxia does not correlate with the CXR findings. Their lungs do not sound bad. Keep your stethoscope in your pocket and evaluate with your eyes and pulse ox.
 Labs- WBC low, Lymphocytes low, platelets lower then their normal, Procalcitonin normal in 95%
 CRP and Ferritin elevated most often. CPK, D-Dimer, LDH, Alk Phos/AST/ALT commonly elevated.
 Notice D-Dimer- I would be very careful about CT PE these patients for their hypoxia. The patients receiving IV contrast are going into renal failure and on the vent sooner.
 Basically, if you have a bilateral pneumonia with normal to low WBC, lymphopenia, normal procalcitonin, elevated CRP and ferritin- you have covid-19 and do not need a nasal swab to tell you that.
 A ratio of absolute neutrophil count to absolute lymphocyte count greater than 3.5 may be the highest predictor of poor outcome. the UK is automatically intubating these patients for expected outcomes regardless of their clinical presentation.
 An elevated Interleukin-6 (IL6) is an indicator of their cytokine storm. If this is elevated watch these patients closely with both eyes.
 Other factors that appear to be predictive of poor outcomes are thrombocytopenia and LFTs 5x upper limit of normal.
 I had never discharged multifocal pneumonia before. Now I personally do it 12-15 times a shift. 2 weeks ago we were admitting anyone who needed supplemental oxygen. Now we are discharging with oxygen if the patient is comfortable and oxygenating above 92% on nasal cannula. We have contracted with a company that sends a paramedic to their home twice daily to check on them and record a pulse ox. We know many of these patients will bounce back but if it saves a bed for a day we have accomplished something. Obviously we are fearful some won't make it back.
 We are a small community hospital. Our 22 bed ICU and now a 4 bed Endoscopy suite are all Covid 19. All of these patients are intubated except one. 75% of our floor beds have been cohorted into covid 19 wards and are full. We are averaging 4 rescue intubations a day on the floor. We now have 9 vented patients in our ER transferred down from the floor after intubation.
 Luckily we are part of a larger hospital group. Our main teaching hospital repurposed space to open 50 new Covid 19 ICU beds this past Sunday so these numbers are with significant decompression. Today those 50 beds are full. They are opening 30 more by Friday. But even with the "lockdown", our AI models are expecting a 200-400% increase in covid 19 patients by 4/4/2020.
 worldwide 86% of covid 19 patients that go on a vent die. Seattle reporting 70%. Our hospital has had 5 deaths and one patient who was extubated. Extubation happens on day 10 per the Chinese and day 11 per Seattle.
 Plaquenil which has weak ACE2 blockade doesn't appear to be a savior of any kind in our patient population. Theoretically, it may have some prophylactic properties but so far it is difficult to see the benefit to our hospitalized patients, but we are using it and the studies will tell. With Plaquenil's potential QT prolongation and liver toxic effects (both particularly problematic in covid 19 patients), I am not longer selectively prescribing this medication as I stated on a previous post.
 We are also using Azithromycin, but are intermittently running out of IV.
 Do not give these patient's standard sepsis fluid resuscitation. Be very judicious with the fluids as it hastens their respiratory decompensation. Outside the DKA and renal failure dehydration, leave them dry.
 Proning vented patients significantly helps oxygenation. Even self proning the ones on nasal cannula helps.
 Vent settings- Usual ARDS stuff, low volume, permissive hypercapnia, etc. Except for Peep of 5 will not do. Start at 14 and you may go up to 25 if needed.
 Do not use Bipap- it does not work well and is a significant exposure risk with high levels of aerosolized virus to you and your staff. Even after a cough or sneeze this virus can aerosolize up to 3 hours.
 The same goes for nebulizer treatments. Use MDI. you can give 8-10 puffs at one time of an albuterol MDI. Use only if wheezing which isn't often with covid 19. If you have to give a nebulizer must be in a negative pressure room; and if you can, instruct the patient on how to start it after you leave the room.
 Do not use steroids, it makes this worse. Push out to your urgent cares to stop their usual practice of steroid shots for their URI/bronchitis.
 We are currently out of Versed, Fentanyl, and intermittently Propofol. Get the dosing of Precedex and Nimbex back in your heads.
 One of my colleagues who is a 31 yo old female who graduated residency last may with no health problems and normal BMI is out with the symptoms and an SaO2 of 92%. She will be the first of many.
 I PPE best I have. I do wear a MaxAir PAPR the entire shift. I do not take it off to eat or drink during the shift. I undress in the garage and go straight to the shower. My wife and kids fled to her parents outside Hattiesburg. The stress and exposure at work coupled with the isolation at home is trying. But everyone is going through something right now. Everyone is scared; patients and employees. But we are the leaders of that emergency room. Be nice to your nurses and staff. Show by example how to tackle this crisis head on. Good luck to us all."

Supply chains: Production & Distribution (case: masks)
random Serbian supplier (of JNA masks)

slovenian supplier of masks, made out of tissues
Seti, Kranj, Slovenia

MEDICAL— (BAD!) Central Apnea / myalgic encephalomyelitis (NEURO/BRAIN)

I'm interested in this because there is another illness that used to occur in epidemics, that also began as an upper respiratory infection, and could cause profound, long-run CNS and peripheral muscular symptoms: myalgic encephalomyelitis


    * infection
    * T+5 : symptoms
    * phase I: colonization:
        peak ... 7-14 days
    * relenting ("feeling better"):
        5-7 days
    * phase II

CONSPIRACY -- Is there an uptick in EU deaths? "Why not visible in stats?"

The answer is that increased mortality that may occur  primarily at subnational level or within smaller focal areas, and/or concentrated  within smaller age groups, may not be detectable at the  national level, even  more so not in the pooled analysis at European level, given the large total population denominator. Furthermore, there is always a few weeks of delay in death  registration and reporting. Hence, the EuroMOMO mortality figures for the most  recent weeks must be interpreted with some caution.

MEASURES— UBI as corona measurement in Spain

... possibly continuous after lockdown!

CONSPIRACY -- "Look at the weird German 2003 document, page 55"
UPDATE: What's weird about simulating pandemics?

MEDICAL— Oxygen supplementation: Ventilators (invasive) > CPAP machines > face mask

via: mentioned her as "non-invasive", contrary to ventilators
Typically, Covid-19 patients in ICU are put on ventilators. This is an invasive and traumatic process. Some hospitals prefer to treat severe cases with a continuous positive airway pressure ventilator (Cpap). St Thomas’, however, favours full ventilation, believing this is how you save people, specialists say.

"albeit through a face mask rather than Cpap or full mechanical ventilation."
#meh (right-wing view)
but many #predictions

TOOLS/RS— Wow really nice models (SIR models)
#simulation #vr

[!→] 101 -- Prevent viruses!

——————— PAD 3 ——————————

2021/08: It's going not so good
‘The war has changed’: Internal CDC document urges new messaging, warns delta infections likely more severe

———————— POST-VAX ———————————

[!!*] VAX— Deciding on PFIZER vax GAP
"Older people who waited 11–12 weeks for their second jab had higher peak antibody levels than did those who waited only 3 weeks."
"Peak antibody levels were 3.5 times higher in those who waited 12 weeks for their booster shot than were those in people who waited only 3 weeks"
Why is spain 3 weeks?
"8 week seen as sweet spot"
"Should be widened to 8 weeks"

One pre-print study, yet to be peer reviewed, suggests waiting 11-12 weeks for the second Pfizer dose actually produces an even more potent antibody response in people over 80. 
The levels of antibodies in people who waited 12 weeks for their second dose were 3.5 times higher than those whose gap was three weeks.
Get your second shot 3 weeks (or 21 days) after your first

VAX— Immunity when?

People are considered fully vaccinated:
  • 2 weeks after their second shot in a 2-dose series, like the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines, or

VAX— Comparison: Moderna>Pfizer (2021/08)
"Pfizer vaccine less effective against delta variant transmission compared to Moderna, says study"
Moderna was found to be, on average, 76% effective against infection from the delta variant compared to Pfizer, which was 42% effective against infection from the variant.
the study

VAX/POLICIES— Not vaccinating the world "will come back and hurt us"

"We need to balance that with getting other countries, like Africa and India, vaccinated," he said. "Them not being vaccinated is going to come back and hurt us next year."

VAX— Sore arm
"that's a good thing"
"keep it moving throughout the day"

Covid politics (booster moratorium <WHO!)
The World Health Organization has called for a moratorium on COVID vaccine booster programmes until at least the end of September in order to prioritise vaccines for low-income countries.

CONSPIRACY— "Gates covid simulation" in oct 2019 ("event 201")

picked up by conspiracy theorists.

Max Blumenthal gives good commentary
... which is then reinterpreted as "conspiracy theory" by Media bias. lol

CONSPIRACY— Report 2021-11-2# (by antivaxxer): "It was already there in early 2019"

"in 2019-02 they were all coughing in a weird way"

2018-12 even, it started ... the children began to be sick in a weird way
... "mostly the little children from 8m-6y"
"sick in a weird way"

"in the beginning of march they all started going into a fever"

MEDICAL— Immune amnesia (measles)

see → 🔗medical

(COVID does not do this)
(but shows how complex viruses are)

"3x vax should be enough"

Več raziskav kaže, da se s 3. odmerkom da preprečiti okužbe in da valovi odnehajo, ko je prebivalstvo dobilo 3. odmerek. 3 x cepljeni imajo po teh podatkih do 25-kratno količino protiteles v primerjavi s 2 x cepljeni.

MEDICAL/CONSEQUENCES— Long term smell loss in 1% of patients

After six months of smell loss, the chance of recovery drops to less than 20 percent, and around 5 percent of all cases will result in permanent loss
Although other symptoms of long Covid can be more serious—such as brain fog, heart or lung damage and chronic fatigue—the long-term loss of smell isn't something to be overlooked. Folks with anosmia are twice as likely to experience hazards like inability to detect gas leaks, smoke or spoiled food, reports CNN.

WRITEUPS/ANTIVAX—  "i'm not an expert, and neither are you"

nevem kdo se je spomnil da ma bit državljan neko vezo s prostovoljnostjo. država z ekspertnim aparatom narekuje omejitve v prometu, cepiva, šolstvo, davke, itn. pejte se cepit 
jaz osebno tudi nisem virolog, tko da ne pričakujem niti od sebe niti od drugih ne-virologov da bi lahko karkol razumel glede tveganj itn. isto velja za nuklearke, poplave in pesticide. na teh področjih se oziroma proti ekspertom, kolikor ni konsenza tam. zaznat konsenz pa tud kot ne ekspert ni težko niti pri mdma niti rakiji niti pfizerju 

ANTIVAX/POLEMICS/LONGTERM— "But what if we get complications in 20 years"

POLEMICS— Lower cognitive function → vaccine hesitancy


ANTIVAX— "low vaccination rates generally favor the emergence of new coronavirus mutations"


Story: early antigen test (2020/3) that wasn't approved (and antigen vs pcr testing)

————— DOING DRAFT —————

(20200509) (merged back in) CORONA TRACKERS

was "XXX:ctrackers"
(slovenia app announce)

    * will they be mandated?
    * is this bad? in which cases would it be bad?
    UPDATE: interesting!

COMMUNIQUES/SENT OUT — We think corona is a 5-11°C thing
~ April 2020

Is anyone else here basing their whole pandemic logic on the "virus is feasible in 5-11°C + low humidity" paper? ......... somehow can't open it right now, here's the gist:
Any tried sources of historic weather data? I'd like actual data, not just "averages". Anyway, here's one for Wuhan:
I'd be down to try to replicate / fool around with some ML around what this paper would mean

[!] Would be interesting to revisit this hypothesis:
    Were we totally off or is there something?
    If not, how certain were we of this delusion? What to adjust?
    Did it mutate and change re this?


LONGTERM — Covid→neurological


"A huge study linked COVID-19 to brain atrophy and damage."
COVID-19 may shrink the brain's gray matter, primarily in areas of the brain involved in smell and memory processing, a large study suggests.
These distinct changes in brain structure crop up in both people who required hospitalization for COVID-19 and those who had less severe infections, according to the study, published March 7 in the journal Nature. And the tissue loss and damage seen in these study participants was "above and beyond" the structural brain changes that normally occur with age, said Jessica Bernard, a neuroscientist and associate professor at Texas A&M University, who was not involved in the study. 
"This definitely is statistically, reliably, above and beyond that," said Bernard, who studies how normal age-related brain changes affect people's ability to think and move.
On average, the infected group showed 0.2% to 2% greater tissue loss and damage over the course of about three years, compared with the control group. To put that in context, estimates suggest that aging adults lose about 0.2% to 0.3% of their gray matter in regions related to memory each year, according to a 2021 report in the journal Neurobiology of Aging, so additional loss beyond that would be out of the ordinary.

TREATMENT— Antiviral
A Throat Lozenge with Fixed Combination of Cetylpyridinium Chloride and Benzydamine Hydrochloride Has Direct Virucidal Effect on SARS-CoV-2 
Andrej Steyer, Miša Marušić, Marko Kolenc, Tina Triglav
Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Ljubljana, Zaloška 4, SI-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Viruses are the most common causative agents of inflammation in the oral cavity and throat region. Most respiratory tract infections are self-limiting and require no specific treatment. However, patients often use different self-medication therapies that can treat both the symptoms and the cause. Throat lozenges with a fixed combination of benzydamine hydrochloride and cetypiridinium chloride (BH/CPC) have been shown to provide effective symptomatic relief for sore throat, but their effect on viruses has not been investigated to date. The antiseptic, cetylpyridinium chloride (CPC), has already been described as a successful bactericide. In addition, there are some studies suggesting its efficacy against certain enveloped viruses. Thus, the aim of our study was to examine the virucidal activity of CPC and a combination of BH/CPC as a free active substance or as lozenge on SARS-CoV-2 in vitro. Under in-laboratory simulated conditions of lozenge administration, we incubated SARS-CoV-2 with three different concentrations of each of the active substances, CPC, free BH/CPC or BH/CPC, as a lozenge suspension for 1 min, 5 min and 15 min of contact time. Infective viral particles were detected in cell cultures and the viral titre was calculated accordingly. Our results show that all active substances in high-concentration suspensions, as well as a medium concentration of the BH/CPC combination, exhibited a 4-log reduction in viral titre. Additionally, the highest concentration of BH/CPC as a lozenge had a faster virucidal effect compared to CPC as a free active substance alone, since a contact time as short as 1 min reduced the initial virus concentration by more than 4-log. This study demonstrates the effective strong virucidal effect of the lozenge, with the possibility of viral load reduction in the oral cavity and, consequently, reduced risk of viral transmission. View Full-Text

[×] PERSONAL/PSYCHO— Infection come closer ... Still, I make riskier choices ("acceptance/giving up")
    * Deda is (considered) positive
    * Same day, Matic has a risky contact
    * I have 2 dates in a row, second day I spend 2 hours inside:
        This was evaluated to be ~20% risk!

So ... it seems that:

It seems I am giving up!?

Another look at Long Covid

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), long COVID “is a range of symptoms that can last weeks or months after first being infected with the virus that causes COVID-19 or can appear weeks after infection. Long COVID can happen to anyone who has had COVID-19, even if their illness was mild, or if they had no symptoms.”

That being said, seeing an extremely healthy athlete friend of mine out of breath after walking up a flight of stairs a month after recovery was pretty shocking.

Compared to those without any infections, people who had COVID-19 were 35% more likely to suffer from anxiety disorders and nearly 40% more likely to experience depression or stress-related disorders, the data showed.
This coincided with a 55% increase in the use of antidepressants and a 65% growth in the use of medications to treat anxiety, the researchers said.
Similarly, people who had survived COVID-19 were 41% more likely to develop sleep disorders and 80% more likely to experience declines in brain function, including memory and focus problems, according to the researchers. 

[M!] POLITICS/ORGA— Why is political calculation so terrible?

Point to one politician or public health leader who is including the toll of long COVID in their decision-making.
I can't find evidence that any leaders in the US are considering it at all.

[!!*] POLITICS– Airborne = non-individual responsibility

[!!*] ANTISCIENCE— Airborn fail — why didn't we "know" for a year?


[!!*] So, does vaccination decrease viral load??

20220221: D gets covid


TREATMENT— "sotrovimab"

BA.2 is also resistant to some treatments, including sotrovimab, the monoclonal antibody that's currently being used against Omicron.  

SYMPTOMS— Kidney pain (or is it "lower back pain")?
It is well documented that the COVID-19 virus mainly affects the lungs, but a new study has claimed that the infection also has the capability to damage kidneys as well.
According to a study by a team of German and Dutch scientists, COVID-19 causes direct cellular damage within the kidneys, contributing to tissue scarring or kidney fibrosis.
The study was published in the journal Cell Stem Cell.
To study the effects of SARS-CoV-2 on the kidney, the scientists at the RWTH Uniklinik Aachen in Germany and the Radboud University Medical Center in the Netherlands collected kidney tissue of 62 COVID-19 ICU patients (61 autopsy specimens and one biopsy).
They then compared these kidney tissues of Covid patients, other patients in the hospital for a non-Covid-related lung issue, and a group of healthy people.
Also Read: 'Tsunami of cases': Delta & Omicron are twin threats, says WHO 
They found out that the kidney tissue from the COVID-19 patients showed much more tissue scarring than others.

TREATMENT— Anti-inflammatory, like ibuprofen
We found no scientific evidence linking ibuprofen use and an ACE-2 overexpression. Ibuprofen suppresses the production of various pro-inflammatory cytokines that are implicated in the 'cytokine storm' and subsequent ARDS in COVID-19 disease. Nevertheless, the exact role of ibuprofen in the immune response in COVID-19 disease is still unknown. There are no double-blind, placebo-controlled studies assessing the effect of ibuprofen on COVID-19 disease progression.Expert opinion: The studies that have been performed so far demonstrate no association between ibuprofen use and increased mortality rates or an increased risk for respiratory support. Accordingly, we recommend ibuprofen to be used for managing COVID-19 symptoms.

Early in the pandemic, there were some concerns that NSAIDs such as ibuprofen (Advil, Motrin, others) and naproxen (Aleve) might not be safe for people with COVID-19. However, the CDC now recommends taking medications, such as ibuprofen or acetaminophen, to relieve fever if you have COVID-19.

TREATMENT— Breathing during/post COVID
Breathing exercises can help make your lungs more efficient and may be beneficial for reducing the impact of COVID-19 before, during, and after a confirmed diagnosis.
The breathing exercises we outline in this article will not prevent COVID-19, but they may help lessen the severity of symptoms affecting your respiratory system. They are also helpful for relieving stress you may be feeling during this pandemic.

    It seems I am less inclined to breathe deep, if I don't focus, due to:
        * disturbing phlegm
        * back pain
    [!] think in general about such reccomendations

SYMPTOMS— Hoarse voice

It's like, some of the pipes are just clogged/deteriorated.
Like there is something inside, but it's ... you can't get it out (or you'd probably damage the pipes more).

While a hoarse voice is a primary change to your voice, it could vary from person to person. Some may find their voice becoming croaky and raspy, whereas others may have a more rough, quieter voice or a different voice pitch, as per the study.
According to the researchers, "We know that the COVID-19 virus affects the tissues in our respiratory system of which the voice box (larynx) is a part of."

A hoarse voice isn’t a very common symptom of COVID-19 but the likelihood of having it increases with age. 13% of children, 29% of adults aged 16-35 and 32% of adults aged over 35 experience a hoarse voice during their illness.

SYMPTOMS— Weird headache

Mar 11 / DIAG+18
This has been going on now for a week, sometimes
It's a weird headache, i described it on telegram:
    * feels kind of ... mushy forehead
    * feels "warm", like a fever ... in front and especially on the SIDE (TEMPLES) and IN THE EYES

Combined feel with "waking up each morning kind of burnt out"    
But "it might just be":
    * the black fungus in ex flat
    * the cats in this flat
    * the central heating in both flats
    * "not sleeping enough"

But some/much of this has always been the same
and this feel is completely new & common


Could I live with it ?
... I guess so?!

[m!!] COVID brain damage :(
The group who had mild COVID an average of five months beforehand had thinning of brain tissue in several brain regions, ranging from 0.2% to around 2% compared to their pre-COVID scan. This is equivalent to between one and six years of normal brain ageing. Affected brain regions included the parahippocampal gyrus (an area related to memory) and the orbitofrontal cortex, which is located at the front of the brain and is important for smell and taste. 

SYMPTOMS/NEURO— "Brain melting"

20220319 (DIAG+26)
Have these very specific headaches.
* Feel a bit feverish, but not really
* Not a migraine, just "heat"
* position:
    * "weird squashy forehead"
    * heat Inwards of earlobes
    * sometimes "squashy" and weird, electric feels in brain in general

VARIANT— BA.5 is immune resistant?
Spain has also detected cases of the BA.5 sub-variant of Omicron, which is thought to be immune resistant. “The first in vitro studies indicate that prior infection with BA.1 would offer a lesser degree of protection against BA.4 and BA.5 than that which has been observed against BA.2,” Spain’s Ministry of Health reported. 

————— more 20220519

[!!] TESTING/ORDERING— Antigen/rapid tests: spike VS nucleocapsid protein detecting
This can reduce sensitivity or result in non-functional tests for rapid antigen tests using SARS-CoV-2 spike protein as a target. Those using nucleocapsid protein as a target such as our RapidFor™ SARS-CoV-2 Rapid Antigen Test Kit, on the other hand, are less likely to be influenced by mutations in terms of sensitivity and functionality.

_______ example
(M has this?)

Potential of OM-85 (general anti-pulmo infections agent)
Treatments for coronavirus disease 2019, which is caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), are urgently needed but remain limited. SARS-CoV-2 infects cells through interactions of its spike (S) protein with angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) and transmembrane protease serine 2 (TMPRSS2) on host cells. Multiple cells and organs are targeted, particularly airway epithelial cells. OM-85, a standardized lysate of human airway bacteria with strong immunomodulating properties and an impeccable safety profile, is widely used to prevent recurrent respiratory infections. We found that airway OM-85 administration inhibits Ace2 and Tmprss2 transcription in the mouse lung, suggesting that OM-85 might hinder SARS-CoV-2/host cell interactions.
The emergence of SARS-CoV-2, a novel coronavirus, caused the global Coronavirus disease of 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Because SARS-CoV-2 mutates rapidly, vaccines that induce immune responses against viral components critical for target cell infection strongly mitigate but do not abrogate viral spread, and disease rates remain high worldwide. Complementary treatments are therefore needed to reduce the frequency and/or severity of SARS-CoV-2 infections. OM-85, a standardized lysate of 21 bacterial strains often found in the human airways, has immuno-modulatory properties and is widely used empirically in Europe, South America and Asia for the prophylaxis of recurrent upper airway infections in adults and children, with excellent safety profiles. In vitro studies from our laboratory recently demonstrated that OM-85 inhibits SARS-CoV-2 epithelial cell infection by downregulating SARS-CoV-2 receptor expression, raising the possibility that this bacterial extract might eventually complement the current COVID-19 therapeutic toolkit. Here we discuss how our results and those from other groups are fostering progress in this emerging field of research.

<------------------------------------ ((new)) ....... (new)+

#longterm #toread
One in eight Covid hospital patients have heart inflammation up to two months later, researchers find

Viruses are Scary
amazing study of SARS airborne spread
Johnson looks good
generally ... a boring writeup. maybe more interesting if it would be an only thing one reads.
denialist ?
there were just seven deaths among the 700 infected passengers and crew — the real death rate could stretch from five times lower (0.025%) to five times higher (0.625%). It is also possible that some of the passengers who were infected might die later, and that tourists may have different frequencies of chronic diseases — a risk factor for worse outcomes with SARS-CoV-2 infection — than the general population. Adding these extra sources of uncertainty, reasonable estimates for the case fatality ratio in the general U.S. population vary from 0.05% to 1%.